Currency Strategy: The Practitioner’s Guide to Currency Investing, Hedging and Forecasting, 2nd Edit货币战略：货币投资、避险与预测从业者手册 电子版 免费 pdf 下载 azw3 fb2 caj mobi

Currency Strategy，Second Edition develops new techniques and explains classic tools available for predicting，managing，and optimizing fluctuati*** in the currency markets。Author Callum Henderson shows readers ho to use mathematical models to assist in the prediction of crises and gives practical advice on how to use these and other tools successfully。

Given there such huge focus on China at the moment，the timing of this new edition is particularly important。The new edition will feature a thorough update on the key developments in the past 3 years，new chapters on emerging markets，an in-depth review of the markets of China and India and their currencies and much more。

Preface to the Second Edition

Acknowledgements

About the Author

IntrOduction

PART ONE THEORYANDPRACTICE

1 Fundamental Analysis：The Strengths and Weaknesses of Traditional Exchange Rate Models

1.1 Purchasing Power Parity

1.1.1 Reas*** for“Misalignments”

1.1.2 Tradable and Non—Tradable Goods

1.1.3 PPP and Corporate Pricing Strategy

Example 1

Example 2

1.1.4 PPP and the Real Exchange Rate

　1.2 The Monetary Approach

1.2.1 Mundell—Fleming

1.2.2 Theory VS.Practice

1.2.3 A Multi—Polar rather than a Bi—Polar Investment W10rld

1.2.4 Two Legs but not Three

l.2.5 Implicati*** for New EU Member States

　1.3 The Interest Rate Approach

1.3.1 Real Interest Rate Differentials and Exchange Rates

　1.4 The Balance of Payments Approach

1.4.1 A Fixed Exchange Rate Regime

1.4.2 A Floating Exchange Rate Regime

1.4.3 The External Balance and the Real Exchange Rate

1.4.4 REER and FEER

1.4.5 Terms of Trade

1.4.6 Productivity

　1.5 The Portfolio Balance Approach

Example

1.6 Summary

2 Currency Economics：A More Focused Framework

2.1 Currencies are Different

2.1.1　（In）Efficient Markets

2.1.2 Speculation and Exchange Rates：Cause，Effect and the Cycle

Example

2.1.3 Risk Appetite Indicators and Exchange Rates

2.2 Currency Economics

2.2.1 The Standard Accounting Identity for Economic Adjustment

Example 1

Example 2

2.2.2 The J-Curve

Example

2.2.3 The Real Effective Exchange Rate

2.3 Summary

3 Flow：Tracking the Animal Spirits

3.1 Some Examples of Flow Models

3.1.1 Short—Terill Flow Models

3.1.2 Medium—Term Flow Models

3.1.3 Option Flow/Sentiment Models

3.2 Speculative and Non—Speculative Flows

3.3 Summary

4 Technical Analysis：The Art of Charting

4.1 Origins and Basic Concepts

4.2 The Challenge of Technical Analysis

4.3 The Art of Charting

4.3.1 Currency Order Dynamics and Technical Levels

4.3.2 The Study of Trends

4.3.3 Psychological Levels

4.4 Schools of(Technical)Thought

4.5 Technical Analysis and Currency Market Practitioners

PART TW0 REGIMES AND CRISES

5 Exchange Rate Regimes：Fixed or Floating?

5.1 An Emerging World

5.2 A Brief History of Emerging Market Exchange Rates

5.2.1 The Rise of Capital Flows

5.2.2 Openness to Trade

5.3 Fixed and Pegged Exchange Rate Regimes

5.3.1 TheCurrencyBoard

5.3.2 Fear and Floating

5.3.3 The Monetary Anchor of Credibility

　　……

6 Model Analysis: Can Currency Crises be Predicted?

PART THREE: THE REAL WORLD OF THE CURRENCY MARKET PRACTITIONER.

7 Managing Currency Risk Ⅰ The Corporation: Advanced Approaches to Corporate Treasury FX Strategy.

8 Managing Currency Risk ⅡThe Investor: Currency Exposure within the Investment Decision.

9 Managing Currency Risk Ⅲ – The Speculator: Myths, Realities and How to be a Better Currency Speculator.

10 Applying the Framework.

11 EmergingWorld: New Growth Markets for Global FX.

Conclusion.

Index

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Currency Strategy, Second Edition develops new techniques and explains classic tools available for predicting, managing, and optimizing fluctuati*** in the currency markets. Author Callum Henderson shows readers ho to use mathematical models to assist in the prediction of crises and gives practical advice on how to use these and other tools successfully. Given there such huge focus on China at the moment, the timing of this new edition is particularly important. The new edition will feature a thorough update on the key developments in the past 3 years, new chapters on emerging markets, an in-depth review of the markets of China and India and their currencies and much more.